Ket Dun Athletic 5 - 2 St Dart

Key Events:

• 3' Ket Dun Athletic Kai Osaka scores, assisted by Andre Mbengue
• 22' Yellow card to St Dart William Perry
• 27' Yellow card to St Dart Antonio Mendes
• 41' Ket Dun Athletic Tornike Meqvabishvili scores
• 49' Yellow card to St Dart Jonathan Baxter
• 58' Yellow card to St Dart Derrick Wilson
• 66' St Dart Jonathan Baxter scores, assisted by Pieter Bakker
• 67' Red card to St Dart Pieter Bakker
• 72' Ket Dun Athletic Giovanni Fusco scores, assisted by Tornike Meqvabishvili
• 77' Ket Dun Athletic Eduardo Macedo scores, assisted by Giovanni Fusco
• 88' St Dart Robert Hamilton scores
• 90' Ket Dun Athletic Kai Osaka scores, assisted by Daniel Perez

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Ket Dun Athletic scored five from 2.75 xG, substantially outstripping the chance-quality estimate. The finishing was unusually productive, while the 12 shots and 10 on target show that this was not simply a scoreline assembled from speculative efforts. St Dart scored twice from 1.64 xG, also finishing above expectation, and put six of seven shots on target. That return speaks to effective finishing in a smaller volume of attacks, but the visitors could not match the hosts’ repeated threat. The modest possession edge, 52% to 48%, suggests control was not overwhelming in the conventional sense; the decisive difference was how often Ket Dun Athletic converted its attacking work into goals.

The 66th-minute goal gave St Dart a route back into the match, but the reprieve was brief: Pieter Bakker was sent off a minute later, and Ket Dun Athletic scored twice in the following ten minutes. The visitors still found a second goal through Robert Hamilton late on, so the closing stages were not entirely ceremonial. Kai Osaka settled matters at 90', making the scoreline a fair reflection of the hosts’ greater volume and a rather generous account of their finishing.

For St Dart, four yellow cards and a red card made an already difficult task harder, while Ket Dun Athletic completed the match without a booking. The hosts had only one corner to the visitors’ four, but set pieces were not the main currency here: Ket Dun Athletic produced five goals from open-play opportunities listed in the events, and kept finding answers whenever St Dart threatened to make the evening more complicated.