Stage Rangers 2 - 4 Harbord Town

Key Events:

• 10' Yellow card to Harbord Town Ahmed Lučić
• 16' Harbord Town Alan Holland scores
• 20' Harbord Town Alan Holland scores, assisted by Ramiz Mašić
• 31' Yellow card to Stage Rangers Carlos Hermosilla
• 38' Harbord Town Ahmed Lučić scores, assisted by Archil Kapanadze
• 43' Yellow card to Stage Rangers Benjamin Lim
• 45' Harbord Town Ricardo Fernandez scores, assisted by Alan Holland
• 65' Stage Rangers Carlos Hermosilla scores, assisted by Youngtae Rhee
• 79' Stage Rangers Benjamin Lim scores, assisted by Arturo Jimenez
• 85' Yellow card to Stage Rangers Youngtae Rhee

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Stage Rangers recorded 3.52 xG and scored twice, finishing 1.52 goals below the Gazzetta chance-quality estimate. Harbord Town scored four from 3.13 xG, an over-performance of 0.87. The comparison points to a sharp contrast in finishing: the hosts generated the higher estimated chance value, but Harbord Town converted more of its opportunities and built a four-goal first-half lead. Stage Rangers also had more shots on target, 12 to 10, and eight corners to the visitors’ three. Those figures suggest the hosts found ways to threaten, but not enough ways to make their pressure count before the damage was done. Possession was nearly even, so this was not a matter of one side simply keeping the ball out of the other’s reach.

Stage Rangers had no standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.

• Pass Accuracy%: 83%-83%
• Tackles: 8-7

The 2-4 scoreline leaves Stage Rangers with a useful second-half response, but not a result that can be softened into a narrow defeat. Two goals after the break showed they could still turn possession and pressure into something tangible; they simply had too much ground to recover after Harbord Town struck four times by the interval. The visitors’ finishing made the difference in a match where the overall chance estimates, shots and possession were all relatively close. In the end, Stage Rangers had more of the statistical argument, while Harbord Town had the goals—the part of the paperwork the league tends to keep.