Wood Villa 3 - 2 Bordenham Rovers

Key Events:

• 19' Yellow card to Bordenham Rovers Lindomar Da Silva
• 25' Wood Villa Phillip Lewis scores, assisted by Pedro Chagas
• 31' Wood Villa Jorge Alvez scores, assisted by Phillip Lewis
• 45' Yellow card to Bordenham Rovers Luca Colombo
• 51' Bordenham Rovers Lindomar Da Silva scores, assisted by Friedrich Unger
• 53' Wood Villa Philippe Robert scores, assisted by Michael Brown
• 64' Bordenham Rovers Luca Colombo scores, assisted by Xinping Boon
• 72' Yellow card to Wood Villa Paulo Rocha
• 82' Yellow card to Wood Villa Pedro Chagas

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Wood Villa scored three goals from 2.34 xG, an over-performance of 0.66; Bordenham Rovers scored twice from 3.22 xG, leaving them 1.22 below the chance-quality estimate. That gap is the clearest explanation for a result that did not follow the balance of the shooting numbers: the visitors had 17 attempts and 10 on target, against 11 and eight for the hosts, yet finished with one fewer goal. Bordenham Rovers generated enough opportunities to expect more than two, while Wood Villa converted a smaller attacking return into a decisive lead. The hosts’ 14 tackles, against eight for the visitors, also point to a more active defensive contribution; the visitors’ higher shot count and possession of 49 per cent did not translate into the extra finish they needed.

For Wood Villa, the useful measure was not control of the ball so much as getting enough from the chances that came their way. Their 51 per cent possession was only a slight edge, and the 11 shots were notably fewer than the visitors’ 17, but the hosts scored three times and stayed in front after Bordenham Rovers twice narrowed the gap. Lewis was central to the early advantage, first finishing Pedro Chagas’s assist and then setting up Jorge Alvez. The later goal from Philippe Robert, assisted by Michael Brown, proved important: after Luca Colombo made it 3-2, Wood Villa still had the lead to protect.

Bordenham Rovers leave with the sharper-looking chance figures and the less welcome result. Their 3.22 xG, 10 shots on target and seven corners reflect sustained threat, but the two goals were not enough to overcome the hosts’ more efficient finishing. Lindomar Da Silva scored shortly after the break, and Colombo brought the margin back to one in the 64th minute; the visitors had made the contest tight again, but the score remained 3-2. Two yellow cards apiece and no red cards kept the disciplinary balance even, while the final difference came down to conversion: Wood Villa made more of less, and Bordenham Rovers did not turn their greater chance total into a point.