Egrehar 1 - 3 Lone

Key Events:

• 24' Yellow card to Egrehar Michael Brown
• 36' Egrehar Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Nilson Pires
• 48' Yellow card to Lone Jorge Alvez
• 54' Lone Jorge Alvez scores, assisted by Pedro Chagas
• 63' Yellow card to Lone Phillip Lewis
• 90' Lone Nilson Pires scores, assisted by Seungwoo Jeong
• 90' Lone Philippe Robert scores, assisted by Nilson Pires

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Egrehar’s 1.97 xG against one actual goal points to a substantial shortfall in finishing, while Lone scored three from 1.9 xG, converting chances at a markedly higher rate. The underlying chance estimates were almost level, so the 1-3 scoreline says more about what each side made of its opportunities than about one club creating a flood of chances. Egrehar had 56% possession and nine shots to Lone’s eight, with both sides putting seven on target. That is a fairly even platform in chance volume and quality; the difference was that Lone found the net twice late, when the match was still within reach for the hosts.

For Egrehar, the possession and xG figures offered reason to think the match could have gone differently; the single goal is the less diplomatic part of the evidence. Lone were not dominant by those measures, but they were more clinical when the defining moments arrived. The two 90th-minute goals made the margin look emphatic, and settled a game whose chance profile had been close.