Duncard 5 - 1 Newitch Wanderers

Key Events:

• 6' Duncard Xinping Boon scores, assisted by Robert Bruce
• 8' Duncard Leonardo Sandoval scores
• 20' Newitch Wanderers Nilson Pires scores
• 24' Yellow card to Duncard Quim Pinto
• 37' Yellow card to Newitch Wanderers Phillip Lewis
• 56' Duncard Robert Bruce scores, assisted by Xinping Boon
• 65' Duncard Jose Yañez scores
• 72' Yellow card to Newitch Wanderers Nilson Pires
• 80' Yellow card to Duncard Michael Schäfer
• 84' Duncard Jose Yañez scores
• 88' Yellow card to Duncard Robert Bruce

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Duncard scored five from an xG of 3.84, exceeding the chance-quality estimate by 1.16 goals. Newitch Wanderers scored once from 1.08 xG, a near match between output and the chances created. The figures suggest that Duncard did not need an implausible volume of low-quality attempts to build the score: 14 of their 17 shots were on target, while the visitors managed three on target from six. Newitch Wanderers held 55% possession and completed passes more accurately, but Duncard turned their smaller share of the ball into the much more dangerous attacking work. The early goals gave the hosts a platform, and their second-half strikes made sure the visitors’ possession had little time to become a comeback.

• No Newitch Wanderers players reached a rating of 7.0 or higher.

The scoreline reflects both Duncard’s sharper finishing and the gap in threat between the sides, rather than control of the ball: Newitch Wanderers led possession, dribbles and pass accuracy, but finished with one goal to the hosts’ five. Duncard also shared the foul count at 16 apiece and had slightly fewer tackles, so this was not a matter of simply smothering the visitors. The more telling difference was what happened when attacks reached the shooting stage. Duncard produced 17 attempts and repeatedly tested the target; the visitors’ six attempts gave them much less room to alter the match. At 5-1, the final arithmetic was emphatic, while the underlying xG makes clear that the visitors did at least create a credible chance for their goal.