Guisham Villa 2 - 3 Calee Mary United

Key Events:

• 5' Guisham Villa Morten Christensen scores, assisted by Jim Bird
• 40' Yellow card to Calee Mary United Arnold Hendriks
• 49' Yellow card to Calee Mary United Agostino Tarantino
• 51' Guisham Villa Amin Ebrahim scores, assisted by Marcelo Valenzuela
• 64' Calee Mary United scores, assisted by Rhys Beynon
• 64' Yellow card to Guisham Villa Jim Bird
• 84' Calee Mary United scores, assisted by Herman van der Veen
• 89' Calee Mary United Antonio Richard scores, assisted by Diame Dia

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The 2-3 scoreline was much kinder to Guisham Villa than the chance-quality figures suggest. Villa scored twice from 1.79 xG, a modest over-performance of 0.21, while Calee Mary United scored three from 4.97 xG, finishing nearly two goals below their estimate. The visitors put 17 of 24 shots on target; Villa had seven shots and all seven were on target. That volume points to sustained pressure and repeated opportunities for Calee Mary United, while Villa made their far smaller supply count. The visitors’ eventual three-goal return was enough to win, though not enough to do justice to the number and quality of their chances.

No players from either side recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

For Guisham Villa, the early lead and Amin Ebrahim’s goal shortly after the interval offered a genuine route to a result. Yet the side had only one corner and 43% possession, and the volume of Calee Mary United’s attacks made holding that advantage a demanding task. Villa did get every shot on target, an efficient return, but the visitors kept asking the same question until the defence ran out of satisfactory answers.

Calee Mary United showed patience as well as persistence. Two cautions, one arriving four minutes after the other, did not derail the visitors’ pursuit, and the three goals came across the final 26 minutes after Villa had established a two-goal cushion. Antonio Richard supplied the winner, assisted by Diame Dia, while the earlier scoring actions were set up by Rhys Beynon and Herman van der Veen. On the night, the 3-2 result records a narrow victory; the shot count and xG record a side that spent much of the match trying to make the margin more comfortable.