Barmin Athletic 1 - 3 Oswith Town

Key Events:

• 18' Yellow card to Oswith Town Luca Colombo
• 40' Oswith Town Luca Colombo scores, assisted by John Collins
• 46' Oswith Town Pierre Gautier scores
• 58' Oswith Town John Collins scores
• 85' Barmin Athletic Domingos Gomes scores

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Barmin Athletic produced 0.73 xG and scored once, finishing above the chance quality it generated. Oswith Town recorded 3.58 xG and scored three: a little below its estimate, but still a return backed by a much healthier supply of opportunities. The shot count makes the difference plain: Oswith Town had 16 attempts, 13 on target, while Barmin Athletic managed four, with two on target. With possession almost even at 49%-51%, the match was not decided by who held the ball for longer. It was decided by what each side did with the occasions it found. Barmin Athletic did more dribbling, 14 to eight, but Oswith Town repeatedly put the ball toward goal and built a lead that its hosts could only partly answer.

The sequence of goals gave Oswith Town control of the result: Luca Colombo opened the scoring in the 40th minute, Pierre Gautier added another in the 46th, and John Collins made it three in the 58th. Barmin Athletic did not find the net until Domingos Gomes scored in the 85th minute. That late goal mattered to the final score, but it could not erase the gap in chances or make the contest closer than the wider numbers suggest.

For Barmin Athletic, the extra dribbles and near-even possession offered evidence of activity, but not enough danger in front of goal. Oswith Town were less successful on pass accuracy by a single percentage point and made fewer tackles, yet the visitors' 13 shots on target provided the clearest measure of their attacking edge. A 3-1 away win, supported by a 3.58-0.73 xG advantage, is not a narrow escape; the only modest complication for Oswith Town was scoring one fewer than its chance estimate suggested.