Saxming 3 - 1 Harby Wanderers

Key Events:

• 2' Saxming Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Jorge Alvez
• 16' Yellow card to Harby Wanderers Eric Moreau
• 17' Saxming Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Philippe Robert
• 23' Yellow card to Saxming Pedro Chagas
• 77' Saxming Philippe Robert scores
• 89' Harby Wanderers Eric Moreau scores, assisted by Julio Cortes

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

Saxming scored three from 1.5 xG, a substantial overperformance, while Harby Wanderers scored once from 2.22 xG and finished well below the quality of chances recorded. The shot count points in the same direction: Harby Wanderers had 10 attempts, eight on target, against Saxming’s seven attempts and five on target. Yet Saxming’s early finishing gave the hosts a two-goal lead before the match had settled, and their third arrived in the 77th minute. Harby Wanderers created enough to make the contest uncomfortable, but their eventual goal came only at 89 minutes. The figures describe a win built less on chance volume than on Saxming converting efficiently and Harby Wanderers leaving too much of their attacking work unfinished.

• Harby Wanderers had no standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.

The match’s shape was set at unusual speed. Saxming scored in the second minute, then again in the 17th, with Pedro Chagas central to both finishes; the second came after Eric Moreau had been booked, and Chagas himself joined the cautioned list six minutes later. Harby Wanderers did not lack for forward activity after that. Their advantages in shots and corners, and their eight efforts on target, show a side that kept asking questions even while two goals behind. Saxming, meanwhile, recorded more tackles and possession, and managed the scoreline with enough discipline to keep the lead intact until Philippe Robert made it three.

The final 3-1 gives Saxming a clear win, though not one that can be mistaken for a quiet afternoon. Harby Wanderers’ late goal, scored by Eric Moreau from Julio Cortes’s assist, made the margin more representative of the match’s tension than of its earlier scoreline. Saxming will take the points and the clinical opening; Harby Wanderers can take the evidence that they created chances, though evidence is not quite the same thing as goals.