Mingh City 1 - 5 Bath End Rovers

Key Events:

• 28' Yellow card to Mingh City Kyungmo Im
• 31' Mingh City Xinping Boon scores, assisted by Eric Sousa
• 34' Bath End Rovers Mauricio Osses scores
• 64' Bath End Rovers Johnny Barbosa scores, assisted by Vito Piccolo
• 66' Bath End Rovers Jhon Castillo scores, assisted by Jose Vasquez
• 67' Yellow card to Bath End Rovers Giuseppe Falcone
• 83' Yellow card to Bath End Rovers Mauricio Osses
• 87' Bath End Rovers Jose Vasquez scores, assisted by Mauricio Osses
• 89' Bath End Rovers Jose Vasquez scores, assisted by Vito Piccolo

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Mingh City 0.64 xG and Bath End Rovers 3.84. Both sides finished above that projection: Mingh City scored once, 0.36 more than its estimate, while Bath End Rovers scored five, 1.16 above theirs. That is a little extra finishing on top of an already substantial gulf in opportunity. The visitors registered 17 shots and put 14 on target, against three shots and two on target for the hosts; the xG figures and the 5-1 result tell the same broad story, with Bath End Rovers repeatedly making the more dangerous visits to goal. Mingh City’s 54% possession and greater number of dribbles did not translate into a comparable volume of chances. The visitors, meanwhile, paired their attacking output with 13 tackles to Mingh City’s four, suggesting a match in which Bath End Rovers could disrupt and then threaten, rather than merely wait for the ball to come back.

The match began with a spell of promise for Mingh City: Xinping Boon put the hosts ahead after Eric Sousa’s assist, and the early advantage was theirs to protect. It lasted only three minutes before Mauricio Osses levelled for Bath End Rovers. From there, the visitors’ shot volume gave the contest its shape, even while the possession figures kept a small statistical flag flying for Mingh City. Control of the ball, as it turned out, was not the same thing as control of the afternoon.

The decisive separation came after the break, when Johnny Barbosa and Jhon Castillo scored in the 64th and 66th minutes. Bath End Rovers then added two more through Jose Vasquez in the final minutes, completing a 5-1 win that matched the pressure in the shot count and exceeded the visitors’ xG by a useful margin. Mingh City had an opening goal and enough possession to suggest involvement; Bath End Rovers had the chances, the tackles and, by the end, four more goals.