Con-on Stanley 1 - 3 Oldermouth

Key Events:

• 6' Con-on Stanley Nilson Pires scores, assisted by Jorge Alvez
• 28' Oldermouth Mato Radulović scores
• 32' Oldermouth Ibrahim Akanbi scores
• 57' Yellow card to Oldermouth Mato Radulović
• 58' Yellow card to Con-on Stanley Jorge Alvez
• 61' Yellow card to Oldermouth Ibrahim Akanbi
• 87' Oldermouth Ibrahim Akanbi scores, assisted by Xinping Boon

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Con-on Stanley at 1.23 xG and Oldermouth at 3.73. The actual 1-3 score was a little kinder to the hosts than the chance balance suggests, while Oldermouth’s three goals came in below the quality and volume of opportunities they created. Their 19 shots, including 12 on target, compared with Con-on Stanley’s six and four on target, point to sustained attacking pressure rather than a result built on a handful of fortunate moments.

Con-on Stanley did make the early opportunity count: Nilson Pires scored in the sixth minute, assisted by Jorge Alvez. Oldermouth answered with two goals in four minutes, changing the match before the hosts could settle into a defensive rhythm. Possession was relatively close at 46%-54%, but the shot count was not. Both clubs had five corners, and each made seven tackles; the important difference was how often Oldermouth turned possession into attempts on goal.

Oldermouth’s lead survived a run of three yellow cards between the 57th and 61st minutes, then Ibrahim Akanbi added the final goal in the 87th, assisted by Xinping Boon. The 3-1 scoreline is a clear win for the visitors, and the attacking numbers explain why: they created more and tested the opposing goal far more often. For Con-on Stanley, the early strike was a proper start, but it could not compensate for the pressure that followed.

Con-on Stanley: No standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.

Oldermouth:

• Ibrahim Akanbi (7.3) - Scored twice, including the late goal that completed Oldermouth’s 3-1 win, and also received a yellow card.