Croston County 1 - 3 Oldeborth

Key Events:

• 17' Yellow card to Croston County Xinping Boon
• 19' Yellow card to Oldeborth Miguel Monteiro
• 20' Yellow card to Croston County Luca Colombo
• 28' Oldeborth Cheikh Ndiaye scores, assisted by Gunwoo Paik
• 33' Oldeborth Marco Mancini scores
• 72' Oldeborth Gunwoo Paik scores
• 75' Croston County Luca Colombo scores, assisted by Xinping Boon

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Oldeborth produced 3.68 xG and scored three, a little below the chance-quality estimate but still a return that fitted their attacking volume. They registered 17 shots, 13 on target, against Croston County’s four attempts and three on target. The hosts’ 0.89 xG and one goal put them slightly above expectation, but the larger gap was in the number and quality of chances created. Croston County held 57% possession and completed more dribbles, yet Oldeborth were far more dangerous when they reached shooting positions. Possession, in this case, was a resource the hosts had more of, not a guarantee of control.

• No Croston County players recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

The three-goal sequence for Oldeborth began with Cheikh Ndiaye’s finish, supplied by Gunwoo Paik, and continued with Marco Mancini’s goal five minutes later. After the interval, Paik added a third, leaving Croston County with a steep task. Luca Colombo’s 75th-minute reply, assisted by Xinping Boon, gave the hosts a goal and a late foothold, but not enough time to turn the match around.

The figures describe a result that was clear without pretending the hosts were entirely absent: Croston County had three shots on target and did find the net, while their possession and dribbling totals showed they could carry the ball. But Oldeborth’s 13 shots on target and 3.68 xG supplied the more decisive evidence. The 1-3 scoreline matched the direction of the chance balance, with Oldeborth’s finishing and threat doing more than Croston County’s greater share of possession could answer.