Ramel United 3 - 4 Treedon Con

Key Events:

• 2' Ramel United Ibrahim Nuhu scores
• 25' Treedon Con Roderick Duffy scores, assisted by Rex Wallace
• 28' Treedon Con Robert Williams scores
• 34' Yellow card to Treedon Con Jose Nieto
• 41' Yellow card to Treedon Con Jason Matthews
• 49' Yellow card to Ramel United David Russell
• 64' Treedon Con Roderick Duffy scores
• 76' Ramel United Jaewoo Joo scores
• 90' Ramel United Jaewoo Joo scores, assisted by Serigne Ndiaye
• 90' Treedon Con Jose Nieto scores, assisted by Roderick Duffy

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Ramel United finished with 0.93 xG and three goals, a substantial over-performance that kept the contest alive far beyond what its chance total suggested. Treedon Con recorded 3.34 xG and four goals, also scoring above its estimate, though its larger volume of chances gave that return a firmer foundation. The shot count tells the central tactical story: Treedon Con put 12 of 15 attempts on target, while Ramel United managed three on target from four shots. That is not a tale of the hosts creating an equal supply and merely losing the finishing lottery; they were markedly more efficient with fewer opportunities. The near-even possession, 49 to 51 per cent, disguises the difference in attacking threat. Treedon Con generated the more persistent pressure, while Ramel United turned its limited openings into a remarkably effective response.

The final score of 3-4 gives Treedon Con the points, but the late exchange made the finish more eventful than comfortable. Jaewoo Joo struck in the 90th minute to narrow the gap, only for Jose Nieto to answer in the same minute and restore the visitors’ two-goal cushion. Ramel United showed striking composure in front of goal and kept finding ways back into the match; Treedon Con had the broader supply of chances and enough attacking weight to make those late alarms survivable. The result was a one-goal margin, but the underlying shot and xG figures suggest the visitors had earned the win over the course of the match.