Eastrenburn 1 - 3 Naigh United

Key Events:

• 4' Naigh United Miguel Avila scores, assisted by Ruben Restrepo
• 14' Naigh United Miguel Avila scores
• 22' Yellow card to Eastrenburn Ademir Ferreira
• 59' Naigh United Sayed Ezzat scores, assisted by Sayed Hassan
• 76' Yellow card to Naigh United Samuel Yunusa
• 81' Eastrenburn Rasmus Iversen scores
• 81' Yellow card to Naigh United Jose Sanchez
• 90' Yellow card to Eastrenburn David Hall

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Eastrenburn 0.98 xG and Naigh United 4.77. The final score of 1-3 therefore left the hosts close to their expected return, while the visitors scored three from a much larger projected haul. That gap points less to a fortunate smash-and-grab than to a match in which Naigh United repeatedly reached promising shooting positions but did not convert as much of that advantage as the estimate suggested. The shot figures underline the difference in territory and threat: Naigh United had 22 attempts, 17 on target, against five attempts and three on target for Eastrenburn. Possession was much closer, at 52% to 48%, so the visitors’ edge was not simply a matter of keeping the ball; they made their possession more productive near goal.

• No Eastrenburn players recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

Naigh United established control early through Avila’s goals in the fourth and 14th minutes, then extended the lead through Sayed Ezzat after the break. Eastrenburn did get on the scoresheet through Rasmus Iversen in the 81st minute, but the late response came with the match already tilted by the visitors’ volume of chances. The final 3-1 was a clear win for Naigh United, though their 4.77 xG makes plain that the scoreline was not the fullest possible expression of their attacking advantage.