Burnhatfor 2 - 4 Louth United

Key Events:

• 11' Yellow card to Louth United Alan Jenkins
• 13' Louth United Rafael Do Rosario scores, assisted by Julio Gonzalez
• 14' Yellow card to Burnhatfor Seongsu Jo
• 22' Yellow card to Burnhatfor Shinji Fujisawa
• 26' Burnhatfor Manuel Brito scores, assisted by Pedro Dos Santos
• 32' Louth United Đoko Močević scores, assisted by Rafael Do Rosario
• 61' Yellow card to Burnhatfor Gerard Marchand
• 67' Louth United Đoko Močević scores, assisted by Gordon Simpson
• 71' Burnhatfor Shinji Fujisawa scores, assisted by Pedro Dos Santos
• 85' Yellow card to Burnhatfor Pedro Dos Santos
• 87' Louth United Gary Jarvis scores, assisted by Gordon Simpson

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Louth United recorded 4.63 xG and scored four, a modest under-performance against the chance-quality estimate; Burnhatfor scored twice from 1.64 xG, finishing somewhat above theirs. The gap in volume was the central tactical fact: 22 shots and 16 on target for the visitors, compared with seven shots and six on target for Burnhatfor. The hosts were efficient enough to keep the scoreline alive, but Louth United created the much larger body of chances, backed by eight corners to two and a slight edge in possession. Four goals from the visitors’ opportunities was ample, even if the estimate suggests the afternoon might have been more comfortable still.

Manuel Brito and the other eligible Burnhatfor players did not record ratings of 7.0 or higher.

Đoko Močević (7.6) - Scored twice, giving Louth United the decisive edge in front of goal. Rafael Do Rosario (7.3) - Scored once and assisted Đoko Močević’s first goal. Gordon Simpson (7.0) - Supplied the assists for two of Louth United’s goals.

Burnhatfor showed resilience twice, reducing the deficit through Manuel Brito and later Shinji Fujisawa, both assisted by Pedro Dos Santos. But each response left the hosts needing to contain an attack that had already produced two goals and kept returning with numbers. The four yellow cards for Burnhatfor, against one for Louth United, added a measure of friction to a match whose main imbalance was not discipline but territory and chances.

The late goal from Gary Jarvis, assisted by Gordon Simpson, settled the 4-2 result and gave Louth United a final word after Burnhatfor had made the second half interesting. The hosts deserve credit for making their limited opportunities count, but the visitors’ shot count, target count and xG all point in the same direction. Louth United did not need to be perfect with their finishing; they needed only to keep creating, which they did.