Cravere Town 5 - 1 Greepsham United

Key Events:

• 22' Yellow card to Greepsham United Grant Fitzgerald
• 36' Yellow card to Greepsham United Craig Christie
• 40' Cravere Town Mladen Barić scores
• 40' Yellow card to Cravere Town Salih Jović
• 44' Cravere Town Salih Jović scores
• 45' Yellow card to Greepsham United Peter Jensen
• 61' Cravere Town Mladen Barić scores, assisted by Robert Simon
• 63' Cravere Town Mladen Barić scores, assisted by Renan Moreira
• 85' Cravere Town Mladen Barić scores, assisted by Roy Caballero
• 90' Greepsham United Stephen Burgess scores
• 90' Yellow card to Cravere Town Sandro Machin

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Cravere Town recorded 2.41 xG and scored five, outperforming the chance-quality estimate by 2.59 goals. That is a substantial overperformance, but the shot count gives it some context: nine of their ten attempts were on target, and Barić converted four of the chances that came his way. Greepsham United had 0.41 xG and one goal, also scoring above expectation, though its two shots and single effort on target left little room to alter the broader pattern. The visitors held 53% possession, but possession without regular attempts is a rather quiet form of control; Cravere Town made its attacks count with striking efficiency.

The scoreline reflects the gulf in attacking output more than the possession figures: Greepsham United had slightly more of the ball, but Cravere Town led the shots, shots on target, corners, dribbles and tackles. The home side’s four-goal lead after Barić’s 85th-minute strike was reduced by Stephen Burgess at 90', so the visitors did at least find a late reply. It did not change the result: Cravere Town won 5-1, with the final score settled well before the last card arrived.