Lough Park 7 - 0 Borden United

Key Events:

• 5' Lough Park Karim Mido scores
• 6' Lough Park Alex Yang scores, assisted by Ian Kelly
• 10' Lough Park Phillip Lewis scores, assisted by Alex Yang
• 12' Lough Park Andrew Bailey scores, assisted by Alex Yang
• 38' Yellow card to Lough Park Michael Brown
• 42' Lough Park Phillip Lewis scores, assisted by Ivan De la Cruz
• 58' Lough Park Ivan De la Cruz scores
• 61' Lough Park Andrew Bailey scores, assisted by Phillip Lewis

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Lough Park’s seven goals came from a Gazzetta chance-quality estimate of 3.75 xG, a substantial over-performance that points to finishing well beyond the quality of chances alone. The hosts put 14 of 16 shots on target, so this was not merely a case of a few speculative efforts finding their way in; they repeatedly made Borden United’s goal work. Borden United recorded 0.11 xG from one shot, with none on target, and finished without a goal. Lough Park had 56% possession and 87% pass accuracy, giving them the platform to keep pressure on, while the visitors’ four corners and 15 dribbles did not translate into a shot on target. The xG gap explains the broad balance of the match; the final score also reflects Lough Park’s exceptional return in front of goal.

• No Borden United players reached a rating of 7.0.

The decisive passage came before the match had settled into anything resembling a routine: four goals in 12 minutes gave Lough Park a commanding cushion, with Alex Yang involved in two of those strikes. Phillip Lewis added his second just before half-time, and further goals from Ivan De la Cruz and Andrew Bailey after the break carried the margin to seven. The visitors’ greater totals for corners, dribbles and tackles show that they were not absent from every part of the contest, but their single shot and zero efforts on target tell the more important story about their threat.

A 7-0 result is emphatic by any ordinary measure; paired with 3.75 xG, it also leaves Lough Park with reason to enjoy the finishing while recognizing that seven goals were more than the chance estimate predicted. Borden United were held to 0.11 xG and no shot on target, leaving no late complication to the scoreline. The match was effectively decided in its first dozen minutes, then confirmed by a further three goals: a clear win for Lough Park, with the numbers recording both their control and their unusually generous conversion.