Redon-Avon 3 - 1 Chaming United

Key Events:

• 3' Chaming United Mohamed Diarra scores, assisted by Xinping Boon
• 34' Redon-Avon Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Philippe Robert
• 57' Yellow card to Redon-Avon Jorge Alvez
• 62' Yellow card to Chaming United Enes Popović
• 78' Redon-Avon Michel Lemoine scores
• 82' Yellow card to Chaming United Carlos Fortes
• 83' Redon-Avon Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Seungwoo Jeong

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Chaming United a substantial advantage, 2.82 xG to Redon-Avon’s 1.41. The score went the other way: Redon-Avon scored three from an estimate of 1.41, while the visitors managed one from 2.82. That is pronounced over-performance by the hosts and under-performance by Chaming United, rather than a match in which the final score neatly followed the volume of opportunities. The visitors had 13 shots, 10 on target and six corners; Redon-Avon had six shots, five on target and one corner. The hosts’ finishing was exceptionally productive, while Chaming United did not turn its greater attacking output into enough goals. Redon-Avon also held a narrow possession edge and passed more accurately, but the main tactical lesson is that possession and shot totals can fill a ledger without settling a match.

Redon-Avon recovered from conceding in the third minute and took the lead with two goals in the final stretch, the last arriving just five minutes after Michel Lemoine had scored. Chaming United had the greater share of shots on target and corners, so this was not a case of the visitors failing to reach the attacking end of the pitch. Rather, their advantage in chance volume did not survive contact with the scoreboard. Three goals from six attempts is an unusually efficient return; it is also, on this occasion, the result that counts.