Southbrich 5 - 2 Howcay Park

Key Events:

• 12' Yellow card to Southbrich Cristian Rivera
• 32' Howcay Park Pol Suarez scores, assisted by Nils Laustsen
• 38' Southbrich Cristian Rivera scores, assisted by Martin Taylor
• 44' Yellow card to Southbrich Marko Varga
• 59' Yellow card to Howcay Park Sergio Rodriguez
• 60' Southbrich Andrew McEwan scores, assisted by Adrian Santillan
• 64' Yellow card to Howcay Park Joe Cruz
• 67' Southbrich Marko Varga scores
• 73' Howcay Park Sergio Rodriguez scores, assisted by Davor Vuković
• 75' Southbrich Stoyan Petrov scores, assisted by Marko Varga
• 82' Southbrich Andrew McEwan scores

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Southbrich 3.69 xG and Howcay Park 2.28. The hosts’ five goals beat their estimate by 1.31, a substantial return on a good volume of chances: they had 20 shots, with 11 on target. Howcay Park scored twice from 2.28 xG, finishing a little below the estimate despite an exceptional nine shots on target from nine attempts. The numbers point to a match in which both sides found ways to make chances count, but Southbrich created more attempts and converted at a rate that stretched the final margin beyond its xG advantage. Possession was close, at 52-48, so this was not a matter of one side simply keeping the ball away from the other.

• Howcay Park had no standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.

The goals arrived in clusters, though not quite in a way that let either side settle. Howcay Park went ahead in the 32nd minute; Southbrich replied six minutes later, then struck twice more between the hour and the 67th minute. The visitors answered again at 73', briefly interrupting the hosts’ run, but Stoyan Petrov restored the two-goal gap two minutes later and McEwan completed the scoring in the 82nd. Four yellow cards added a little administrative texture without changing the scoreline.

For Southbrich, the result reflects both a clear edge in shot volume and the finishing to turn that edge into five goals. Howcay Park were not short of accurate efforts, and their two goals gave the contest more life than the final margin alone suggests. But the hosts answered each challenge and finished with the last three goals of the match. Seven goals, two sides with a majority of their shots on target, and a final score that did not require a committee to interpret.