Harleigh 1 - 3 Wald Villa

Key Events:

• 18' Harleigh Jorge Alvez scores
• 25' Wald Villa Allan Carroll scores, assisted by Jorge Alvez
• 51' Yellow card to Harleigh Pedro Chagas
• 56' Wald Villa Nilson Pires scores, assisted by Seungwoo Jeong
• 60' Yellow card to Harleigh Michael Brown
• 82' Yellow card to Wald Villa Pedro Chagas
• 83' Yellow card to Harleigh Seungwoo Jeong
• 86' Wald Villa Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Philippe Robert

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Harleigh at 1.42 xG and Wald Villa at 2.64. Harleigh scored once, slightly below its estimate, while Wald Villa scored three times, modestly above its projection. That difference was not the only measure of the visitors’ edge: Wald Villa also put 10 of 11 shots on target, compared with four of Harleigh’s eight. With 56% possession and 18 dribbles to Harleigh’s seven, the visitors had more of the ball and carried it forward more often. Harleigh did win more corners and made more tackles, but those figures did not translate into an equal share of the clearest attacking returns.

No players for Harleigh or Wald Villa recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

Harleigh had the first goal and the greater corner count, but Wald Villa answered seven minutes later and then moved ahead after the break. The 56th-minute goal gave the visitors a lead to protect, and their higher shot accuracy meant Harleigh had little room to wait for a single opening to change the score. The late bookings added some friction, with three for Harleigh and one for Wald Villa, before Pedro Chagas scored in the 86th minute to complete the 3-1 result. The scoreline matched the broad picture in the chance estimate: Wald Villa created the stronger attacking platform, and the finish was decisive without requiring a statistical landslide in every department.