Hol Stanley 0 - 4 Bury Sping United

Key Events:

• 17' Yellow card to Hol Stanley Seungwoo Jeong
• 24' Yellow card to Hol Stanley Jorge Alvez
• 25' Yellow card to Bury Sping United Ivan Cvetković
• 29' Bury Sping United Julio Cortes scores
• 42' Bury Sping United Eric Moreau scores, assisted by Julio Cortes
• 72' Yellow card to Hol Stanley Michel Lemoine
• 77' Bury Sping United John Bailey scores, assisted by Julio Cortes
• 88' Bury Sping United Cosimo Lombardo scores, assisted by Eckhard Köhler

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Hol Stanley at 0.51 xG and Bury Sping United at 4.13. The actual score, 0-4, is close to that projection: Hol Stanley finished below its modest expectation, while Bury Sping United scored four from chances worth a little more than four goals. That is not a tale of wildly improbable finishing; it is a fairly tidy match between the quality of the chances and the final count. The shot totals sharpen the contrast. Bury Sping United put 16 of 17 attempts on target, while Hol Stanley had only two attempts, both on target. The hosts had more possession, corners, tackles and dribbles, but those measures did not translate into sustained threat. Bury Sping United required less of the ball and less defensive work, and kept finding ways to make its attacks count.

No Hol Stanley players recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

The 4-0 result was built across the match rather than delivered in one sudden rush: Cortes opened the scoring in the 29th minute, and his assist for Moreau gave the visitors a second before half-time. Bailey added the third in the 77th minute, with Lombardo completing the score in the 88th. For Hol Stanley, possession reached 51 per cent, but the two shots tell the more practical story of the afternoon: the ball was available, while clear chances were not. Three yellow cards also marked a difficult day for the hosts, though the decisive difference was the visitors’ capacity to turn attacks into attempts on goal. Bury Sping United leave with a four-goal win that their chance volume supports; Hol Stanley are left with a lopsided scoreline and little attacking evidence to argue with it.