Carth 3 - 1 St Mol Stanley

Key Events:

• 14' Yellow card to Carth Michael Brown
• 16' Carth Zdravko Ivanišević scores, assisted by Philippe Robert
• 24' Carth Michel Lemoine scores, assisted by Pedro Chagas
• 56' Carth Michel Lemoine scores
• 56' Yellow card to St Mol Stanley Allan Carroll
• 57' St Mol Stanley Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Michel Lemoine
• 60' Yellow card to St Mol Stanley Michel Lemoine
• 63' Yellow card to St Mol Stanley Jorge Alvez
• 65' Yellow card to Carth Zdravko Ivanišević
• 71' Yellow card to St Mol Stanley Nilson Pires
• 72' Yellow card to Carth Nilson Pires

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Carth scored three from 2.05 xG, finishing about a goal above the chance-quality estimate. St Mol Stanley scored once from 2.37 xG, falling short by roughly 1.4 goals. The visitors had more attempts, 13 to eight, but Carth put all eight of its shots on target; the difference between volume and precision is visible in both the numbers and the scoreline. Carth made its early opportunities count, then added a third before St Mol Stanley replied a minute later. The xG figures suggest the result was more decisive than the overall quality of chances alone would predict, while the finishing totals explain how it came about.

Carth had 54% possession and the better pass accuracy, 82% to 78%, but did not dominate every measure: St Mol Stanley led corners 3-2 and shots 13-8. The visitors’ single goal kept the contest alive after the third, though the early deficit left them needing a more efficient return from their greater shooting volume. Seven yellow cards and 23 combined fouls gave the match a distinctly busy middle act; no red cards followed, and Carth held on to the two-goal margin.