Kenkridge 0 - 7 Howcay Park

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Kenkridge at 0.76 xG and Howcay Park at 4.24. The scoreline therefore reflects a substantial finishing gap: Kenkridge’s three shots, all on target, produced no goal, while Howcay Park turned 14 shots on target from 21 attempts into seven. The visitors exceeded their xG by 2.76, finishing with striking efficiency; the hosts fell short of theirs and never found a way to make their limited attacking volume count. Possession belonged to Kenkridge, 57% to 43%, but the 15-2 tackle count and the shot totals tell a less comfortable story about where the play was being decided.

The early goals set the pattern. Vuković opened the scoring in the 11th minute, Robert van Leeuwen doubled the lead two minutes later, and Vuković made it three by the 27th. Shaw scored shortly after the interval, then added another in the 65th; Sergio Rodriguez and Ian Scott completed the seven. Kenkridge did win eight corners and recorded higher possession and pass accuracy, but those advantages did not translate into sustained threat. Four home yellow cards added friction to a difficult afternoon, while Howcay Park’s three bookings did little to interrupt its forward momentum. A 0 - 7 defeat leaves little room for consolation in the tidy columns.

Key Events:

• 9' Yellow card to Howcay Park Badri Qavtaradze
• 11' Howcay Park Davor Vuković scores, assisted by Pol Suarez
• 13' Howcay Park Robert van Leeuwen scores, assisted by David Shaw
• 27' Howcay Park Davor Vuković scores, assisted by David Shaw
• 43' Yellow card to Kenkridge Seungwoo Jeong
• 45' Yellow card to Howcay Park David Shaw
• 50' Yellow card to Howcay Park Nils Laustsen
• 52' Yellow card to Kenkridge Pedro Chagas
• 52' Howcay Park David Shaw scores, assisted by Badri Qavtaradze
• 54' Yellow card to Kenkridge Philippe Robert
• 65' Howcay Park David Shaw scores
• 69' Howcay Park Sergio Rodriguez scores, assisted by Nils Laustsen
• 81' Yellow card to Kenkridge Jorge Alvez
• 84' Howcay Park Ian Scott scores, assisted by David Shaw

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Kenkridge’s 0.76 xG against no goals points to a modest chance supply that still went unfinished; Howcay Park’s seven from 4.24 xG represents sharp over-performance at the other end. The visitors’ 21 shots and 14 on target show that their total was built on persistent pressure, not simply a handful of isolated chances. Kenkridge held the ball more often and passed more accurately, but Howcay Park’s advantage in shots and tackles suggests its possession was more effective at turning defensive work into dangerous attacks. The difference between the xG estimate and final score is considerable, though the underlying volume makes the result more than a freakish burst of finishing.

• No Kenkridge players recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.