Amesalmlin 3 - 1 Maidderhar

Key Events:

• 2' Yellow card to Maidderhar Cosimo Lombardo
• 16' Yellow card to Maidderhar John Bailey
• 19' Amesalmlin Marcel Durand scores
• 24' Maidderhar John Bailey scores, assisted by Marcel Durand
• 27' Amesalmlin Julio Cortes scores, assisted by Eric Moreau
• 67' Amesalmlin Ivan Cvetković scores, assisted by Eckhard Köhler

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The 3-1 scoreline sits well below Maidderhar’s 3.61 xG, while Amesalmlin scored three from 2.29 xG. The visitors’ larger expected return, alongside an 18-9 advantage in shots and 12-9 in shots on target, points to a substantial gap between the opportunities they generated and the goals they actually recorded. Amesalmlin, by contrast, made its fewer attempts count at a rate well above the chance estimate. The hosts also had more possession, completed a higher share of passes and won more corners, but those measures did not translate into a greater volume of shots. The match therefore offers two different accounts: Maidderhar created more of the shooting volume, while Amesalmlin proved markedly more efficient in front of goal. Efficiency is a useful tactic, though not one that can always be summoned by the spreadsheet.

No players from either side recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

The opening spell was busy: Maidderhar collected two yellow cards before the first half-hour, and the score had already changed three times by the 27th minute. Marcel Durand opened for Amesalmlin, then assisted John Bailey’s equaliser for Maidderhar. The response was immediate, with Julio Cortes restoring the hosts’ lead from Eric Moreau’s assist. After that exchange, the match’s next goal waited until the 67th minute, when Ivan Cvetković finished a move assisted by Eckhard Köhler.

That third Amesalmlin goal made the final 3-1 score authoritative, even if the underlying chance figures tell a less comfortable story for the hosts. Maidderhar’s 3.61 xG suggests the visitors had enough opportunity to expect a different outcome; Amesalmlin’s 2.29 xG shows that its three-goal return required more than an ordinary conversion rate. The home side’s control of possession and passing did not bring a shot advantage, but it did bring a result that the visitors’ superior shot count could not dislodge. Amesalmlin leaves with the points; Maidderhar leaves with the more generous xG and a less generous scoreline.