Earwood Park 1 - 3 Carnest Jus

Key Events:

• 10' Carnest Jus Luis Pinto scores, assisted by Bruno Rossi
• 12' Yellow card to Earwood Park Jorge Alvez
• 14' Yellow card to Carnest Jus Bruno Rossi
• 20' Carnest Jus Luis Pinto scores, assisted by Emmanuel Chavez
• 33' Carnest Jus Edson Couto scores, assisted by Luis Pinto
• 47' Earwood Park Nilson Pires scores, assisted by Philippe Robert

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Earwood Park 1.04 xG and Carnest Jus 2.48. The final 1-3 score therefore tracked the underlying balance fairly closely: Earwood Park finished just below its estimate, while Carnest Jus scored modestly above theirs. The shot count makes that difference easier to understand. Earwood Park put all four of its attempts on target, but Carnest Jus produced 14 shots, seven on target, and enough volume to make its greater xG no statistical accident. Possession was 51-49 to the hosts, an agreeable number that did not translate into a comparable supply of chances. Carnest Jus were more direct in the practical sense: they created far more attempts, and their early goals gave the match its shape before Earwood Park’s second-half reply could alter it.

• Earwood Park: No players reached a recorded rating of 7.0 or higher.
• Carnest Jus:
• Luis Pinto (8.1) - Scored twice, assisted Edson Couto’s goal, and provided the decisive contribution to Carnest Jus’s three-goal start.

The scoreline was established before the interval, with Pinto striking twice and Couto adding a third in the 33rd minute. Earwood Park did respond promptly after the break through Nilson Pires, assisted by Philippe Robert, but the ledger records no further goals. The hosts’ accuracy in front of goal was commendable in one narrow respect—four shots, four on target—yet the small number of attempts left little room for error. Carnest Jus, by contrast, could afford the ordinary imperfections that come with taking more shots.

The final 1-3 gives Carnest Jus a deserved win on both the scoreboard and the chance-quality figures. Earwood Park had slightly more of the ball and a better pass-accuracy figure, but those advantages did not outweigh the visitors’ substantial edge in shots, corners and dribbles. Pinto was the match’s standout, while the team performance behind him supplied the volume and early control that made his two goals matter. Earwood Park’s reply showed some life after the interval; by then, though, the visitors had already done the essential work.