Ellixham Villa 4 - 2 Totton Argyle

Key Events:

• 6' Totton Argyle Ivan Cvetković scores, assisted by Eric Moreau
• 7' Ellixham Villa Allan Carroll scores, assisted by Michel Lemoine
• 18' Yellow card to Ellixham Villa Jorge Alvez
• 19' Totton Argyle Ivan Cvetković scores, assisted by Julio Cortes
• 32' Ellixham Villa Allan Carroll scores, assisted by Zdravko Ivanišević
• 39' Yellow card to Totton Argyle Eckhard Köhler
• 42' Yellow card to Totton Argyle Marcel Durand
• 62' Yellow card to Ellixham Villa Allan Carroll
• 72' Ellixham Villa Jorge Alvez scores
• 78' Ellixham Villa Michel Lemoine scores
• 90' Yellow card to Totton Argyle Cosimo Lombardo

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Ellixham Villa scored four from 2.54 xG, finishing 1.46 goals above the chance-quality estimate. Totton Argyle scored twice from 2.63 xG, finishing 0.63 below theirs. The visitors’ ten shots on target from eleven attempts suggest they made the goalkeeper work often, while the hosts had eight on target from thirteen shots and converted their opportunities with greater profit. The xG figures were close, and even marginally favoured Totton Argyle; the scoreline instead reflects Ellixham Villa’s sharper finishing and ability to add two second-half goals after the teams had traded the lead.

The early exchanges made this a match of repeated answers: Totton Argyle struck first, Ellixham Villa replied a minute later, and Cvetković put the visitors back in front before Carroll levelled again. The second half brought the decisive separation, with Jorge Alvez scoring in the 72nd minute and Lemoine adding another six minutes later. Ellixham Villa had more possession, 54% to 46%, while Totton Argyle attempted more dribbles and put a higher proportion of its shots on target. Those numbers describe a competitive contest; the four-to-two score records which side made more of its work. Ellixham Villa finished two goals clear, despite the xG estimate giving neither side a substantial advantage in chance quality.