Saxte Rovers 3 - 5 Bellington

Key Events:

• 6' Bellington Stipo Kojić scores, assisted by Pedro Guzman
• 13' Saxte Rovers Luis Pinto scores
• 17' Saxte Rovers Xinping Boon scores, assisted by Vladimir štimac
• 29' Bellington Samuel Kouadio scores
• 46' Yellow card to Bellington Kieran Lee
• 51' Saxte Rovers Luis Pinto scores, assisted by Matteo Dal
• 60' Bellington Rasim Jukić scores
• 64' Yellow card to Bellington Arkadi Dzneladze
• 68' Bellington Samuel Kouadio scores
• 90' Bellington Arkadi Dzneladze scores, assisted by Pedro Guzman

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis:

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Saxte Rovers 1.26 xG and Bellington 3.09. Both sides outscored those estimates: Saxte Rovers finished three times, while Bellington scored five, a substantial return above the chances measured for each. Bellington’s advantage in the underlying volume was clearer than the possession figures suggested: the visitors had 14 shots, 11 on target, against six and four for Saxte Rovers. Saxte Rovers had 59% of the ball and eight corners, but those advantages did not translate into a comparable flow of attempts. Bellington’s 41% possession came with more direct threat, and their five goals turned that efficient attacking output into a decisive margin.

For a time, Saxte Rovers had reason to believe their possession and quick response could carry them through. They turned a one-goal deficit into a 2-1 lead by the 17th minute, and Luis Pinto struck again after the interval to make it 3-2. But the lead did not last: Rasim Jukić levelled, then Samuel Kouadio restored Bellington’s advantage. The visitors had already shown greater capacity to put shots on target; once the game opened up, that difference became difficult to ignore.

The late stages belonged to Bellington, who added Arkadi Dzneladze’s 90th-minute goal to settle a match that had offered little in the way of a quiet stretch. Saxte Rovers created an energetic contest and found three goals, but Bellington’s five were supported by a markedly higher shot count and the stronger xG estimate. The final 3-5 scoreline was not a narrow escape: it reflected the visitors’ greater attacking volume, even as Saxte Rovers’ possession and corner tally made for a rather different-looking set of supporting figures.