Folne 4 - 1 Lodbe Villa

Key Events:

• 13' Yellow card to Folne Lassina Diarrassouba
• 25' Yellow card to Folne Ruben Turmanidze
• 30' Folne Lassina Diarrassouba scores, assisted by Ruben Turmanidze
• 31' Yellow card to Folne Vladimir štimac
• 35' Folne Amir Shahin scores, assisted by Bruno Rossi
• 51' Yellow card to Folne Bruno Rossi
• 55' Folne Kyungjoon Baik scores, assisted by Sadik Topalović
• 61' Lodbe Villa Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Seungwoo Jeong
• 67' Folne Henrik Pedersen scores
• 74' Yellow card to Folne Sadik Topalović

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

Folne’s 4-1 win came alongside a 2.84-1.38 advantage in expected goals. The hosts therefore scored more than their chance-quality estimate anticipated, while Lodbe Villa scored once from an estimate of 1.38: a modest overperformance for Folne and a slight underperformance for the visitors, rather than a result wholly at odds with the chances. The shot figures support that reading: Folne registered 13 attempts, 10 on target, against six attempts and five on target for Lodbe Villa. The visitors had more possession, 56% to 44%, and more dribbles, 18 to six, but those measures did not translate into a comparable volume of shooting. Folne were more direct in the useful sense of making their attacks count, and the four-goal return left the visitors needing more than territorial command.

The timing also gave the scoreline its shape. Folne scored twice before the interval, then added another in the 55th minute; Lodbe Villa replied six minutes later, but Henrik Pedersen restored the three-goal margin at 67'. The visitors did find the net, so this was not a shutout dressed up as a contest, yet their response did not become a sustained change in the scoreboard. Folne’s five yellow cards, against none for Lodbe Villa, show a distinctly busier disciplinary column for the hosts. The match statistics offer no reason to treat that as the source of their attacking advantage: the shots and xG already explain why the 4-1 result was emphatic, even if Folne’s conversion ran ahead of its chance estimate.

No players from either side recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

Folne finished with a three-goal victory after scoring four times from an xG of 2.84, while Lodbe Villa’s single goal came from 1.38 xG. That gap between expected and actual output matters, but it does not erase the wider pattern: Folne put 10 of 13 shots on target, and the visitors managed five on target from six attempts. Lodbe Villa had the ball more and dribbled more often; Folne produced the stronger return where the match is least sentimental, on the scoreboard. The final 4-1 was comprehensive, with the visitors’ possession and consolation goal doing little to diminish the hosts’ control of the decisive moments.