Headle Albion 3 - 4 Rughby-on

Key Events:

• 2' Headle Albion Jacob Alabi scores, assisted by Agustin Araúz
• 9' Rughby-on Madou Tuo scores, assisted by Erling Michaelsen
• 30' Headle Albion Jacob Alabi scores, assisted by Saber Salah
• 41' Rughby-on Nenad Mitrović scores, assisted by Mark Sharp
• 48' Yellow card to Headle Albion Morten Mortensen
• 57' Headle Albion Agustin Araúz scores, assisted by Gabriel Pinto
• 64' Yellow card to Headle Albion Jacob Alabi
• 65' Rughby-on Francisco Gomez scores, assisted by Erling Michaelsen
• 69' Yellow card to Rughby-on Alexander van Dijk
• 73' Rughby-on Alexander van Dijk scores, assisted by Edgar Cardenas
• 82' Yellow card to Headle Albion Saber Salah

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Headle Albion scored three from 1.9 xG, finishing 1.1 goals above the Gazzetta chance-quality estimate. Rughby-on scored four from 2.84 xG, also outperforming its estimate, by 1.16. The combined 7-3 scoreline against 4.74 xG points to unusually sharp finishing on both sides, rather than a match in which chances simply accumulated in proportion to the goals. Rughby-on had the larger volume of opportunities, with 13 shots and 14 corners to Headle Albion's eight shots and three corners, and put ten efforts on target. That pressure mattered, but it did not make the visitors' victory a slow statistical inevitability: Headle Albion found the net with impressive regularity from fewer attempts and led three times before Rughby-on took control of the score.

The lead changed hands in spirit more than once. Headle Albion struck after two minutes, conceded an equaliser, and then restored its advantage through Jacob Alabi; Rughby-on levelled again before the interval. After Agustin Araúz made it 3-2, Rughby-on responded with two goals in eight minutes, turning a home lead into a visitors' win. Erling Michaelsen supplied two assists, including the equaliser from Francisco Gomez that arrived just eight minutes after Headle Albion had gone ahead.

The figures give the result a clear shape without making it tidy. Rughby-on had 55% possession, more shots on target, and a commanding advantage in corners, while Headle Albion committed more than twice as many fouls. Yet the hosts' three goals from eight attempts kept the visitors' greater volume from becoming comfortable control. Rughby-on finished with the points; Headle Albion left with a performance that made the margin feel earned, if not exactly restful.

• Pass Accuracy%: 83%-85%
• Tackles: 6-8