Penburn Wanderers 4 - 2 Suthbury Athletic

Key Events:

• 15' Penburn Wanderers Luca Colombo scores
• 17' Yellow card to Penburn Wanderers Silvino De Brito
• 29' Penburn Wanderers Bruno Rossi scores, assisted by Saliou Sow
• 35' Suthbury Athletic Nilson Pires scores, assisted by Pedro Chagas
• 40' Yellow card to Penburn Wanderers Vladimir štimac
• 54' Suthbury Athletic Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Seungwoo Jeong
• 55' Penburn Wanderers Luis Pinto scores, assisted by Ernst Mann
• 67' Penburn Wanderers Luis Pinto scores, assisted by Bruno Rossi

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Penburn Wanderers scored four goals from 4.03 xG, while Suthbury Athletic scored twice from 1.79 xG. Both sides finished just below their chance-quality estimates: Penburn by 0.03 and Suthbury by 0.21. That closeness makes the result less a tale of unlikely finishing than of who turned their opportunities into goals. The hosts managed 16 shots, all on target, from 41% possession; the visitors had seven shots, also all on target, despite holding 59% of the ball and earning nine corners. Suthbury had more territory and set-piece chances, but Penburn’s greater volume of accurate attempts gave their attacks the sharper edge. The visitors did score twice to level matters at 2-2, but Penburn replied immediately and added another goal, restoring control of a game that had briefly become less comfortable.

The 4-2 scoreline reflects Penburn’s advantage in shot volume and the way the hosts answered when Suthbury threatened to take the match elsewhere. Suthbury’s possession and corner count show they were not short of ways to apply pressure, and their two goals kept the contest alive into the second half. But Penburn turned their on-target attempts into four goals and, after the visitors levelled, restored their lead within a minute. The hosts finished with a clear win; Suthbury leave with the ball, the corners, and the less useful column of the evening.