Weston Albion 3 - 1 Rotton Stanley

Key Events:

• 5' Rotton Stanley Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Philippe Robert
• 34' Yellow card to Weston Albion Marcel Durand
• 36' Weston Albion Richard Stone scores, assisted by Julio Cortes
• 43' Weston Albion Ivan Cvetković scores, assisted by Cosimo Lombardo
• 71' Yellow card to Rotton Stanley Jorge Alvez
• 82' Yellow card to Rotton Stanley Nilson Pires
• 83' Weston Albion Eric Moreau scores, assisted by Marcel Durand
• 90' Yellow card to Rotton Stanley Seungwoo Jeong

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Weston Albion scored three from an xG of 2.24, finishing modestly above the chance-quality estimate. Rotton Stanley scored once from 1.97 xG, a larger gap between expected and actual returns, and one that helps explain how a match with fairly even chances finished 3-1. The visitors’ 59% possession, nine shots and seven on target show they were able to make the contest active; they were not simply watching Weston Albion work. The hosts had 41% possession but put eight of their ten attempts on target and converted three. That combination points to efficient finishing rather than a gulf in opportunity: the figures suggest Rotton Stanley created enough to make the result uncomfortable, while Weston Albion were more decisive in the moments that settled it. The two goals in seven minutes after the opening card changed the shape of the evening, and the 83rd-minute finish ensured the visitors’ late pressure would have needed considerably more than good possession.

No standout performers rated 7.0 or higher for either Weston Albion or Rotton Stanley.

The match’s figures leave Weston Albion with a win earned through a sharper return, not through overwhelming control. Rotton Stanley led the possession, corners, dribbles and pass accuracy, and still ended with three yellow cards and a two-goal defeat. Their early opener gave the contest a clear invitation to become awkward for the hosts; Weston Albion answered quickly, then took command before the break. The late third settled the scoreline, while the xG suggests the visitors had reason to think the game could have gone differently. It did not, which is the difficulty with football’s accounting system: the chances receive estimates, the goals receive the final say.