Hols-ne City 1 - 4 Otley Forest

Key Events:

• 4' Otley Forest Raul Samardžić scores
• 26' Otley Forest Iain Ferguson scores, assisted by Giovanni Melis
• 37' Yellow card to Otley Forest Franck Lambert
• 42' Otley Forest Franck Lambert scores, assisted by Giovanni Melis
• 48' Hols-ne City Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Nilson Pires
• 66' Yellow card to Otley Forest Giovanni Melis
• 70' Otley Forest Kone Soumahoro scores, assisted by Raul Samardžić
• 87' Yellow card to Hols-ne City Michael Brown

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Hols-ne City at 0.41 xG and Otley Forest at 4.13. Against the final 1-4 scoreline, the hosts scored well above the likelihood suggested by their chances, while Otley Forest finished just below its estimate. The shot count helps explain the gap: Otley Forest had 17 attempts, with 16 on target, while Hols-ne City managed two, including one on target. The hosts’ 57% possession and 11 corners brought territory and set-piece opportunities, but those figures did not translate into a comparable volume of shots. Otley Forest, with less of the ball, repeatedly made its attacks count; the xG suggests four goals were a fair return for the chances created, rather than an extravagant one.

• Hols-ne City: No standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.
• Raul Samardžić (7.3) - Scored the opener and assisted Kone Soumahoro’s goal, contributing directly at both ends of Otley Forest’s scoring.

The early goal gave Otley Forest a platform, and two more before the interval made the task steep for Hols-ne City. Pedro Chagas pulled one back three minutes into the second half, but the hosts did not turn that response into a sustained threat: their two shots across the match underline how little they were able to trouble the visitors’ goal. Kone Soumahoro’s 70th-minute finish restored a three-goal margin, and the final score reflected the difference in chance creation more clearly than possession did. For Hols-ne City, the corners and ball control offered evidence of activity, if not of enough danger. Otley Forest left with a convincing win built on shots on target and an attack that kept finding the useful end of the pitch.