Horle Stanley 4 - 3 Selinfield

Key Events:

• 25' Selinfield Luis Cabello scores, assisted by Agustin Juarez
• 26' Horle Stanley Dimitri Gasanova scores, assisted by Luigi Russo
• 28' Selinfield Agustin Juarez scores, assisted by Petar Georgiev
• 42' Selinfield Luis Cabello scores, assisted by Javier Herrera
• 59' Horle Stanley Vicente Cruz scores, assisted by Hugo Matos
• 77' Horle Stanley Luigi Russo scores, assisted by Wayne Lewis
• 79' Yellow card to Horle Stanley Luigi Russo
• 85' Horle Stanley Hugo Matos scores, assisted by Wayne Lewis

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Horle Stanley 3.43 xG and Selinfield 2.14. Both sides finished above that expectation: Horle Stanley scored four, about 0.57 more than its estimate, while Selinfield’s three were about 0.86 above theirs. The combined seven goals therefore exceeded the model’s 5.57 expected, with both teams taking an unusually generous return from their chances. The shot figures offer some context: Horle Stanley had 16 attempts and 12 on target, compared with Selinfield’s nine and eight. Selinfield held 55% possession, but the hosts created more shots and, crucially, kept adding to the score after falling behind. This was less a story of control than of converting pressure into a late, decisive change of direction.

For Selinfield, the two-goal lead built by Luis Cabello and Agustin Juarez was not enough to settle the contest. Their possession and passing accuracy edge showed a side capable of keeping the ball, while the shot count suggests Horle Stanley found more ways to turn possession into attempts. The hosts also made 11 tackles to Selinfield’s five, a difference consistent with a match in which the lead changed hands and the work without the ball mattered.

The decisive sequence came late: Wayne Lewis assisted Luigi Russo in the 77th minute, then assisted Hugo Matos eight minutes later. Russo’s yellow card in between was a small interruption in an increasingly productive spell for the hosts. Horle Stanley had trailed after Selinfield’s three first-half goals, but responded with three of its own after the break and claimed the 4-3 result. Seven goals made for a lively ledger; the final two assists gave the home side the last word.