Walth City 2 - 3 Tam Malin

Key Events:

• 21' Yellow card to Walth City Joao Miguel
• 43' Yellow card to Tam Malin Israel Morales
• 45' Yellow card to Walth City Carlos Moreno
• 49' Walth City Daniel Lopez scores, assisted by Carlos Moreno
• 58' Tam Malin Raphael Bulus scores
• 64' Yellow card to Walth City Antonio Gonçalves
• 65' Tam Malin Saliou Sow scores, assisted by Raphael Bulus
• 77' Tam Malin Nilton Lopes scores, assisted by Saliou Sow
• 79' Walth City scores, assisted by Armindo Gomes

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Walth City at 2.82 xG and Tam Malin at 4.43. Both sides scored fewer than those figures suggest: Walth City finished 0.82 goals below its estimate, while Tam Malin came in 1.43 below. The visitors’ 20 shots, including 16 on target, show how often they tested the defence; Walth City also made its chances count often enough to keep the score close, with 10 of 13 attempts on target. The figures point to a match in which Tam Malin generated the greater volume and quality, but neither side converted all the opportunities available. That mismatch between chance creation and the final score is usually called finishing variance, a phrase that makes the whole business sound tidier than the goalmouth likely felt.

The three-goal sequence from the 58th to the 77th minute turned Tam Malin’s pressure into a lead, with Raphael Bulus and Saliou Sow each involved in a goal and an assist. Nilton Lopes then extended the advantage before Walth City answered two minutes later. That late goal kept the contest alive, though it did not erase the visitors’ control of the shot count or their six corners to Walth City’s one. The hosts had more dribbles, 15 to seven, but their 13 fouls compared with Tam Malin’s three suggest a less comfortable route through the match. The three yellow cards for Walth City also marked a notably more disruptive afternoon.

• Walth City: No standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.
• Tam Malin:
• Raphael Bulus (7.3) - Scored once and assisted Saliou Sow, providing a direct hand in two goals.
• Saliou Sow (7.3) - Scored once and assisted Nilton Lopes as Tam Malin built its second-half lead.

Tam Malin leave with the points after a match that their chances suggested should have been less precarious. Walth City had the accuracy to make the visitors work for the result, and the late reply ensured the final minutes were not merely an administrative exercise. Still, the scoreline stands at 2 - 3: a narrow win, backed by a substantial advantage in chances, with Tam Malin doing just enough to keep the arithmetic on its side.