Newpore United 1 - 4 St Regnt

Key Events:

• 2' Yellow card to St Regnt Bruno Rossi
• 5' Yellow card to Newpore United Eckhard Köhler
• 15' Newpore United John Bailey scores, assisted by Ivan Cvetković
• 40' St Regnt Luis Pinto scores
• 40' Yellow card to Newpore United Kyungsoo Chae
• 44' Yellow card to St Regnt Vladimir štimac
• 45' St Regnt Weijie Hong scores
• 53' St Regnt Weijie Hong scores
• 62' Yellow card to St Regnt Xinping Boon
• 68' Yellow card to Newpore United John Bailey
• 82' St Regnt Luis Pinto scores

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Newpore United 2.72 xG against one goal, a substantial underperformance: their 12 shots included 10 on target, yet only John Bailey found the net. St Regnt scored four from 2.25 xG, finishing well above the estimate. That gap helps explain a result that the underlying chance totals do not predict by themselves. The hosts had the higher xG and more of the ball, but St Regnt made its opportunities count with remarkable efficiency, scoring twice through Pinto and twice through Hong. The figures suggest Newpore United generated enough to expect more than one goal, while the visitors’ clinical return turned a contest with relatively close chance estimates into a three-goal win.

• St Regnt

• Luis Pinto (7.6) - Scored twice, supplying the finishing that made the visitors’ advantage decisive.

• Weijie Hong (7.6) - Also scored twice, including the goal just before half-time that put St Regnt ahead.

• Newpore United

• No standout performers rated 7.0 or higher.

The match’s numbers leave Newpore United with a clear case for frustration: 52% possession, 12 shots and seven corners brought only one goal. St Regnt had less of the ball and fewer attempts, but eight shots on target from 10 efforts and two braces made their attacking return hard to argue with. The visitors also made nine tackles to the hosts’ five, while committing twice as many fouls; the six yellow cards were split evenly. Newpore United started brightly enough to take the lead, but St Regnt answered before the break, then extended the advantage after half-time and added a fourth at 82 minutes. The final score was 4-1 to St Regnt: not a match in which the chance estimate followed the scoreboard, but one in which the scoreboard had the final say.