Fainstbort 2 - 4 Harlton Villa

Key Events:

• 14' Yellow card to Fainstbort Mehmed Mašić
• 27' Fainstbort Jose Santos scores, assisted by Darren Jones
• 31' Yellow card to Fainstbort Darren Jones
• 32' Harlton Villa Michael Brown scores, assisted by Allan Carroll
• 52' Harlton Villa Jorge Alvez scores
• 64' Harlton Villa Allan Carroll scores, assisted by Jorge Alvez
• 66' Fainstbort Nelson Bentancur scores
• 71' Harlton Villa Michael Brown scores, assisted by Allan Carroll

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate gave Fainstbort 3.72 xG against two goals, while Harlton Villa scored four from 1.52 xG. Fainstbort therefore finished well below the return suggested by its chances; Harlton Villa converted at a rate far beyond its expected total. The shot count sharpens the contrast: Fainstbort had 16 attempts, 14 on target, while Harlton Villa managed seven, with five on target. That points to a match where Fainstbort found frequent routes to goal but did not turn its volume into enough scores, while Harlton Villa made its fewer attempts count with remarkable consistency. The visitors also had more possession, 53% to 47%, and more dribbles, 16 to 10, but the figures do not describe a side that simply dominated every measure. Fainstbort made 16 tackles to Harlton Villa’s four and won six corners to three. In the end, the visitors’ greater return from their chances mattered more than the hosts’ greater supply of them.

The goals arrived in clusters that repeatedly shifted the balance. Jose Santos put Fainstbort ahead in the 27th minute, but Michael Brown levelled five minutes later. Harlton Villa then scored twice after the break, through Jorge Alvez and Allan Carroll, before Nelson Bentancur brought Fainstbort back within one. Brown’s second goal in the 71st minute restored the two-goal margin and settled the final score at 4-2. Fainstbort had the shots and the tackles; Harlton Villa had the finishing, and in football the latter tends to receive the more useful column in the record.