Witefravan 0 - 4 Thamwol Wanderers

Key Events:

• 21' Thamwol Wanderers Claudino De Pina scores, assisted by Jamie Davies
• 38' Thamwol Wanderers Jamie Davies scores, assisted by Claudino De Pina
• 53' Thamwol Wanderers Jose Da Silva scores, assisted by Oumar Ndiaye
• 57' Yellow card to Thamwol Wanderers Liming Rahman
• 58' Yellow card to Witefravan Friedrich Unger
• 66' Yellow card to Thamwol Wanderers Daniel Santana
• 70' Yellow card to Witefravan Israel Morales
• 73' Yellow card to Thamwol Wanderers Jose Garcia
• 89' Thamwol Wanderers Jamie Davies scores, assisted by Michael O'Neill

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: The 0-4 score was supported by the chance-quality estimate: Thamwol Wanderers recorded 4.58 xG to Witefravan’s 0.51. The visitors scored four, slightly below their xG, while Witefravan scored none despite producing two shots on target from 0.51 xG. That is not evidence of a hidden avalanche at the other end; it is a small attacking return from a small supply. Thamwol’s 20 shots, 17 on target and six corners show how often the pressure became an actual attempt, rather than merely a possession statistic wearing a confident coat. Possession was almost even, at 51-49, but the visitors made markedly more of their time on the ball.

• No Witefravan players recorded a rating of 7.0 or higher.

The wider figures underline the difference without requiring a complicated theory. Witefravan had the higher pass accuracy, 84 per cent to 83, and attempted more dribbles, 10 to five; neither measure, on its own, bought the hosts a way into the match. Thamwol made 10 tackles to Witefravan’s four, and their advantage in shots was 20-2. The visitors’ pressure was not constant possession so much as repeated arrival in useful places, which is generally the more persuasive form of occupation.

Five yellow cards arrived between the 57th and 73rd minutes, with both sides represented, but the match’s decisive work had already been done through the goals. Davies added the fourth in the 89th minute, assisted by Michael O'Neill, to cap a performance that had started with his involvement in the opener. For Thamwol Wanderers, the 0-4 win matched a clear superiority in chances with a convincing final score; Witefravan were left with two shots and a difficult afternoon’s evidence about the limits of tidy passing.