Cheston Palace 3 - 5 Todmough Stanley

Key Events:

• 2' Cheston Palace James Brown scores, assisted by Peter Richardson
• 4' Todmough Stanley Julio Santos scores
• 5' Todmough Stanley Rodolfo Furtado scores, assisted by Yuto Shiraishi
• 20' Yellow card to Todmough Stanley Luc Timmerman
• 21' Cheston Palace Nicolas Thierry scores, assisted by Hector De la Rosa
• 26' Yellow card to Todmough Stanley Julio Santos
• 33' Yellow card to Cheston Palace Hector De la Rosa
• 37' Yellow card to Todmough Stanley Gustavo Perez
• 38' Cheston Palace James Brown scores, assisted by Seungchul Cha
• 51' Yellow card to Cheston Palace James Brown
• 52' Todmough Stanley Rodolfo Furtado scores
• 62' Yellow card to Todmough Stanley Heinz Pfeiffer
• 72' Todmough Stanley Heinz Pfeiffer scores, assisted by Phillip Lewis
• 85' Todmough Stanley Michael Brown scores, assisted by Raul Hopkins

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Cheston Palace at 1.65 xG and Todmough Stanley at 3.34. Both sides finished above those estimates: Cheston Palace scored three, about 1.35 more than expected, while Todmough Stanley scored five, about 1.66 above its projection. That points to sharp finishing on both sides, but the visitors had the more substantial supply of opportunities. They registered 15 shots, 12 on target, against Cheston Palace's seven shots and six on target. Possession was nearly even, so the difference was less about who held the ball and more about how often each side turned its attacks into attempts. Cheston Palace made its limited shot count unusually productive; Todmough Stanley combined that same clinical edge with a much busier threat.

For Cheston Palace, the two goals from James Brown and a third from Nicolas Thierry showed that the hosts could make their openings count; six shots on target from seven attempts is a creditable return. But the same figures underline the problem: Todmough Stanley put 12 of 15 shots on target, leaving far less room for the match to be rescued by finishing alone. The home side had more possession, more corners and more dribbles, yet those advantages did not produce enough attempts to match the visitors’ sustained pressure.

Todmough Stanley had to withstand a spirited response after its early two-goal burst. Cheston Palace levelled the scoring at 2-2 by the 38th minute, and the contest remained alive until Rodolfo Furtado scored again shortly after the break. From there, Todmough Stanley added goals through Heinz Pfeiffer and Michael Brown to settle the result. The five-goal return was above the visitors’ xG, but the 15-shot count explains why their win was deserved rather than merely a matter of unusually generous finishing. Cheston Palace supplied the drama; Todmough Stanley supplied more of the chances, and eventually more of the goals.