Padiney Orient 2 - 3 Burchaven

Key Events:

• 13' Yellow card to Burchaven Phillip Lewis
• 14' Padiney Orient Lindomar Da Silva scores, assisted by Luca Colombo
• 15' Burchaven Pedro Chagas scores, assisted by Michel Lemoine
• 21' Yellow card to Padiney Orient Friedrich Unger
• 32' Burchaven Philippe Robert scores, assisted by Pedro Chagas
• 37' Padiney Orient Luca Colombo scores, assisted by Luis Pinto
• 50' Yellow card to Burchaven Seungwoo Jeong
• 57' Yellow card to Burchaven Allan Carroll
• 67' Yellow card to Burchaven Pedro Chagas
• 76' Burchaven Philippe Robert scores, assisted by Pedro Chagas
• 88' Yellow card to Padiney Orient Lindomar Da Silva

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Gazzetta chance-quality estimate put Padiney Orient at 2.53 xG and Burchaven at 2.38. The actual score went the other way from those estimates: Padiney Orient scored twice, 0.53 below its xG, while Burchaven scored three times, 0.62 above its figure. That is a modest but meaningful finishing difference in a close match, not evidence of one side being starved of chances. Padiney Orient had 10 shots and all were on target; Burchaven took 13 shots, with seven on target. The hosts also held 54% possession and completed passes more accurately, but Burchaven turned its greater shot volume into the decisive goal. The numbers describe a contest in which control and outcome briefly occupied separate rooms.

The pattern of the match left Padiney Orient with the more comfortable possession and passing figures, plus more corners and dribbles, but those measures did not translate into a third goal. Burchaven had more shots and made better use of the chances reflected in its xG, with Robert finishing twice and Chagas supplying the assists for both. The visitors’ four yellow cards to the hosts’ two added a more combative edge, though neither side had a player sent off. Padiney Orient kept finding ways back into the scoring, but Burchaven found one more way through. At 2 - 3, the difference was narrow on the scoreboard and plain enough in the finish.